Most economists say the U.S. is slowly emerging from the Great Recession, a view that was confirmed to some extent by an exclusive survey of 498 BD+C subscribers whose views we sought on the commercial construction industry’s outlook on business prospects for 2013.
The majority (52.2%) of respondents—architects, engineers, contractors, buildings owners, and others in the commercial, industrial, and institutional field—said their firms were in at least “good” financial health, compared to 49.7% last year.
But a markedly strong showing (86.4%) said their firms would be up in revenues or would at least hold steady in 2013, versus 80.2% last year—an increase that may be not only statistically significant but also most certainly welcome for an industry that could use a bit of cheering.
As was the case last year, more than three-fourths of respondents (75.7%) rated “general economic conditions (i.e., recession)” as the most important concern their firms will face in 2013—roughly comparable to the 78.4% who responded that way last year.
Economy Remains Top Concern for ’13
2013 2012
General economic conditions 75.7% 78.4%
Competition from other firms 44.9% 40.1%
Managing cash flow 37.6% 33.7%
Insufficient capital funding for projects 29.7% 34.5%
Softness in fees/bids 29.7% 28.0%
Government regulations/restrictions 26.6% 23.0%
Price increases (e.g., materials, services)15.7% 18.1%
Avoiding layoffs 16.4% 14.3%
Keeping staff motivated 14.3% 14.3%
Avoiding benefit reductions 11.9% 12.5%
Other factors were largely within the same range as last year, given the margin of error (about 3.5-4%). Competition from other firms (44.9%) went up slightly (from 40.1% in 2011), while having insufficient capital funding for projects declined a bit, to 29.7%, from 34.5% the year before. For both years, nearly three in four (73.4% this year, 74.8% in 2011) described the current business situation for their firms as “very” to “intensely” competitive—further evidence that AEC firms are still struggling for every dollar.
HEALTHCARE, DATA CENTERS LOOK PROMISING FOR ’13
Respondents were asked to rate their firms’ prospects in specific construction sectors on a five-point scale from “excellent” to “very weak.” (Respondents who checked “Not applicable/No opinion/Don’t know” are not counted here.) Among the findings:
- Healthcare continued to be the most highly rated sector, with nearly three-fifths of respondents (58.8%, vs. 54.6% last year) giving it a “good” to “excellent” rating.
- Data centers and mission-critical facilities were also up, with the majority of respondents (52.1%) in the good/excellent category, compared to 45.2% last year
- Senior and assisted-living facilities made a big jump, from last year’s 37.8% of respondents in the good/excellent category, to a majority this year, at 50.5%.
- Government and military work was rated good to excellent by 36.1% of respondents, down slightly from last year’s 41.1%.
- University/college facilities were rated good to excellent by 37.8% of respondents, versus 32.3% in 2011.
- Retail commercial construction got a slight vote of confidence, with nearly one-fifth of respondents (19.9%) stating they thought their firms would have a good to excellent year, nearly double last year’s 11.1%.
- Industrial and warehouse facilities might be staging a comeback: One-fourth (25.5%) of respondents whose firms engaged in that sector said they expect a good to excellent year in 2013; on the other hand, 35.8% said it would be weak or very weak.
Reconstruction—including historic preservation and renovations—accounted for at least 25% of work for more than a third (34.6%) of respondents’ firms, roughly the same as last year (36.3%). Office interiors and fitouts were down, with only 35.7% of this year’s respondents saying this sector would be good to excellent, compared to 42.7% last year.
The prospects for office buildings looked bleak, however, with only 15.6% saying that market would be good to excellent. The majority (55.2%) predicted office buildings would be “weak” or “very weak,” but that’s an improvement from 2011’s 67.3%.
The K-12 sector looked basically flat, with good/excellent responses from 22.9% of respondents this year, compared to 23.2% last year.
As for the use of building information modeling, one-fifth (20.2%) said their firm did not use BIM, about the same as in 2011 (20.6%). Of those who said their firms used BIM, a healthy 26.8% said BIM was used in the majority of projects, based on dollar value—precisely the same as last year. Only a few saw the use of BIM declining in the coming year. Nearly two-fifths (39.0%) of respondents said their companies would be beefing up their investments in technology.
On the communications front, nearly a third of respondents (32.9%) said they did not use social media. Of those who said they did, LinkedIn was the clear choice, at 85.1%, with Facebook in second place (49.5%) and Twitter bringing up the rear (21.1%).
Note: Of the 428 who gave their professional description, 42.1% were architects; 18.7%, engineers; 23.8%, contractors; 5.6% building owners, developers, or facility/property managers; and 9.8%, consultants or “other.” +
Related Stories
Healthcare Facilities | Feb 21, 2023
Cleveland's Glick Center hospital anchors neighborhood revitalization
The newly opened MetroHealth Glick Center in Cleveland, a replacement acute care hospital for MetroHealth, is the centerpiece of a neighborhood revitalization. The eleven-story structure is located within a ‘hospital-in-a-park’ setting that will provide a bucolic space to the community where public green space is lacking. It will connect patients, visitors, and staff to the emotional and physical benefits of nature.
Multifamily Housing | Feb 21, 2023
Multifamily housing investors favoring properties in the Sun Belt
Multifamily housing investors are gravitating toward Sun Belt markets with strong job and population growth, according to new research from Yardi Matrix. Despite a sharp second-half slowdown, last year’s nationwide $187 billion transaction volume was the second-highest annual total ever.
Multifamily Housing | Feb 21, 2023
New multifamily housing and mixed-use buildings in Portland, Ore., must be ready for electric vehicle charging
The Portland, Ore., City Council recently voted unanimously to require all new residential and mixed-use buildings to be ready for electric vehicle charging. The move amends Portland’s zoning laws to require all new multi-dwelling and mixed-use development of five or more units with onsite parking to provide electric vehicle charging infrastructure.
K-12 Schools | Feb 18, 2023
Atlanta suburb opens $85 million serpentine-shaped high school designed by Perkins&Will
In Ellenwood, Ga., a southeast suburb of Atlanta, Perkins and Will has partnered with Clayton County Public Schools and MEJA Construction to create a $85 million secondary school. Morrow High School, which opened in fall 2022, serves more than 2,200 students in Clayton County, a community with students from over 30 countries.
Museums | Feb 17, 2023
First Americans Museum uses design metaphors of natural elements to honor native worldview
First Americans Museum (FAM) in Oklahoma City honors the 39 tribes in Oklahoma today, reflecting their history through design metaphors of nature’s elements of earth, wind, water, and fire. The design concept includes multiple circles suggested by arcs, reflecting the native tradition of a circular worldview that encompasses the cycle of life, the seasons, and the rotation of the earth.
Architects | Feb 17, 2023
Architect of the Capitol fired by President Biden after strong bipartisan criticism
Architect of the Capitol J. Brett Blanton was let go this week following alleged abuse of authority, misuse of government property, and wasted taxpayer money.
High-rise Construction | Feb 15, 2023
Bjarke Ingels' 'leaning towers' concept wins Qianhai Prisma Towers design competition
A pair of sloped high-rises—a 300-meter residential tower and a 250-meter office tower—highlight the Qianhai Prisma Towers development in Qianhai, Shenzhen, China. BIG recently won the design competition for the project.
Senior Living Design | Feb 15, 2023
Passive House affordable senior housing project opens in Boston
Work on Phase Three C of The Anne M. Lynch Homes at Old Colony, a 55-apartment midrise building in Boston that stands out for its use of Passive House design principles, was recently completed. Designed by The Architectural Team (TAT), the four-story structure was informed throughout by Passive House principles and standards.
Designers | Feb 13, 2023
Hoffmann Architects + Engineers Establishes Diversity Advancement Scholarship Fund
Hoffmann Architects + Engineers, a design firm specializing in the rehabilitation of building exteriors, contributed $25,000 to fund the Hoffmann Diversity Advancement Scholarship, administered through the Connecticut Architecture Foundation. The fund provides scholarships for students from underrepresented racial or ethnic groups who are seeking degrees in architecture or engineering.
Office Buildings | Feb 12, 2023
Smyrna Ready Mix’s new office HQ mimics the patterns in the company’s onsite stone quarry
Designed by EOA Architects to showcase various concrete processes and applications, Smyrna Ready Mix's new office headquarters features vertical layering that mimics the patterns in the company’s stone quarry, located on the opposite end of the campus site. The building’s glass and concrete bands are meant to mirror the quarry’s natural contours and striations.