Most economists say the U.S. is slowly emerging from the Great Recession, a view that was confirmed to some extent by an exclusive survey of 498 BD+C subscribers whose views we sought on the commercial construction industry’s outlook on business prospects for 2013.
The majority (52.2%) of respondents—architects, engineers, contractors, buildings owners, and others in the commercial, industrial, and institutional field—said their firms were in at least “good” financial health, compared to 49.7% last year.
But a markedly strong showing (86.4%) said their firms would be up in revenues or would at least hold steady in 2013, versus 80.2% last year—an increase that may be not only statistically significant but also most certainly welcome for an industry that could use a bit of cheering.
As was the case last year, more than three-fourths of respondents (75.7%) rated “general economic conditions (i.e., recession)” as the most important concern their firms will face in 2013—roughly comparable to the 78.4% who responded that way last year.
Economy Remains Top Concern for ’13
2013 2012
General economic conditions 75.7% 78.4%
Competition from other firms 44.9% 40.1%
Managing cash flow 37.6% 33.7%
Insufficient capital funding for projects 29.7% 34.5%
Softness in fees/bids 29.7% 28.0%
Government regulations/restrictions 26.6% 23.0%
Price increases (e.g., materials, services)15.7% 18.1%
Avoiding layoffs 16.4% 14.3%
Keeping staff motivated 14.3% 14.3%
Avoiding benefit reductions 11.9% 12.5%
Other factors were largely within the same range as last year, given the margin of error (about 3.5-4%). Competition from other firms (44.9%) went up slightly (from 40.1% in 2011), while having insufficient capital funding for projects declined a bit, to 29.7%, from 34.5% the year before. For both years, nearly three in four (73.4% this year, 74.8% in 2011) described the current business situation for their firms as “very” to “intensely” competitive—further evidence that AEC firms are still struggling for every dollar.
HEALTHCARE, DATA CENTERS LOOK PROMISING FOR ’13
Respondents were asked to rate their firms’ prospects in specific construction sectors on a five-point scale from “excellent” to “very weak.” (Respondents who checked “Not applicable/No opinion/Don’t know” are not counted here.) Among the findings:
- Healthcare continued to be the most highly rated sector, with nearly three-fifths of respondents (58.8%, vs. 54.6% last year) giving it a “good” to “excellent” rating.
- Data centers and mission-critical facilities were also up, with the majority of respondents (52.1%) in the good/excellent category, compared to 45.2% last year
- Senior and assisted-living facilities made a big jump, from last year’s 37.8% of respondents in the good/excellent category, to a majority this year, at 50.5%.
- Government and military work was rated good to excellent by 36.1% of respondents, down slightly from last year’s 41.1%.
- University/college facilities were rated good to excellent by 37.8% of respondents, versus 32.3% in 2011.
- Retail commercial construction got a slight vote of confidence, with nearly one-fifth of respondents (19.9%) stating they thought their firms would have a good to excellent year, nearly double last year’s 11.1%.
- Industrial and warehouse facilities might be staging a comeback: One-fourth (25.5%) of respondents whose firms engaged in that sector said they expect a good to excellent year in 2013; on the other hand, 35.8% said it would be weak or very weak.
Reconstruction—including historic preservation and renovations—accounted for at least 25% of work for more than a third (34.6%) of respondents’ firms, roughly the same as last year (36.3%). Office interiors and fitouts were down, with only 35.7% of this year’s respondents saying this sector would be good to excellent, compared to 42.7% last year.
The prospects for office buildings looked bleak, however, with only 15.6% saying that market would be good to excellent. The majority (55.2%) predicted office buildings would be “weak” or “very weak,” but that’s an improvement from 2011’s 67.3%.
The K-12 sector looked basically flat, with good/excellent responses from 22.9% of respondents this year, compared to 23.2% last year.
As for the use of building information modeling, one-fifth (20.2%) said their firm did not use BIM, about the same as in 2011 (20.6%). Of those who said their firms used BIM, a healthy 26.8% said BIM was used in the majority of projects, based on dollar value—precisely the same as last year. Only a few saw the use of BIM declining in the coming year. Nearly two-fifths (39.0%) of respondents said their companies would be beefing up their investments in technology.
On the communications front, nearly a third of respondents (32.9%) said they did not use social media. Of those who said they did, LinkedIn was the clear choice, at 85.1%, with Facebook in second place (49.5%) and Twitter bringing up the rear (21.1%).
Note: Of the 428 who gave their professional description, 42.1% were architects; 18.7%, engineers; 23.8%, contractors; 5.6% building owners, developers, or facility/property managers; and 9.8%, consultants or “other.” +
Related Stories
| Jun 6, 2014
Must see: Can a floating city offset urban population growth in China?
AT Design Office has proposed a design for a floating city to offset increasing urban populations in China. To create the new city, a 10-square kilometer island would be made out of prefab blocks.
| Jun 6, 2014
KPF, Kevin Roche unveil design for 51-story Hudson Yards tower in NYC [slideshow]
Related Companies and Oxford Properties Group are teaming to develop Fifty Five Hudson Yards, the latest addition to the commercial office tower collection in the 28-acre Hudson Yards development—the largest private real estate development in the history of the U.S.
| Jun 6, 2014
Shipping container ship terminal completed in Spain
In Seville, Spain, architectural firms Hombre de Piedra and Buró4 have designed and completed a cruise ship terminal out of used shipping containers.
| Jun 5, 2014
International Parking Institute names best new parking structures
Winners include garages that are architectural delights, an airport's canopied parking atrium, and an environmentally friendly garage under America's oldest park.
| Jun 4, 2014
Emerging trends in healthcare development: neighborhood care, mixed-use models on the rise
In urban and even suburban markets, real estate is about the "live, work, play," with close proximity to mass transit and other amenities, like retail stores. Healthcare organizations are following suit.
| Jun 4, 2014
Want to design a Guggenheim? Foundation launches open competition for proposed Helsinki museum
This is the first time the Guggenheim Foundation has sought a design through an open competition. Anonymous submissions for stage one of the competition are due September 10, 2014.
| Jun 4, 2014
Market update: A difficult first quarter for construction spending comes to an end
This year's unusually difficult winter took its toll on construction activity. Nonetheless, first quarter spending for all the major groups was up compared to the same period in 2013.
| Jun 4, 2014
Construction team named for Atlanta Braves ballpark
A joint venture between Barton Malow, Brasfield & Gorrie, Mortenson Construction, and New South Construction will build the Atlanta Braves ballpark, which is scheduled to open in early 2017. Check out the latest renderings of the plan.
| Jun 3, 2014
Must see: World's tallest LEGO tower built in Budapest
The tower, built in front of St. Stephen's Basilica, is topped with a Rubik's cube and was built using thousands of blocks.
| Jun 3, 2014
Great leadership comes down to one thing
While it’s often said that strong leadership is an organization’s competitive advantage, is there a single characteristic that can predict which leaders will be most effective? SPONSORED CONTENT