Most economists say the U.S. is slowly emerging from the Great Recession, a view that was confirmed to some extent by an exclusive survey of 498 BD+C subscribers whose views we sought on the commercial construction industry’s outlook on business prospects for 2013.
The majority (52.2%) of respondents—architects, engineers, contractors, buildings owners, and others in the commercial, industrial, and institutional field—said their firms were in at least “good” financial health, compared to 49.7% last year.
But a markedly strong showing (86.4%) said their firms would be up in revenues or would at least hold steady in 2013, versus 80.2% last year—an increase that may be not only statistically significant but also most certainly welcome for an industry that could use a bit of cheering.
As was the case last year, more than three-fourths of respondents (75.7%) rated “general economic conditions (i.e., recession)” as the most important concern their firms will face in 2013—roughly comparable to the 78.4% who responded that way last year.
Economy Remains Top Concern for ’13
2013 2012
General economic conditions 75.7% 78.4%
Competition from other firms 44.9% 40.1%
Managing cash flow 37.6% 33.7%
Insufficient capital funding for projects 29.7% 34.5%
Softness in fees/bids 29.7% 28.0%
Government regulations/restrictions 26.6% 23.0%
Price increases (e.g., materials, services)15.7% 18.1%
Avoiding layoffs 16.4% 14.3%
Keeping staff motivated 14.3% 14.3%
Avoiding benefit reductions 11.9% 12.5%
Other factors were largely within the same range as last year, given the margin of error (about 3.5-4%). Competition from other firms (44.9%) went up slightly (from 40.1% in 2011), while having insufficient capital funding for projects declined a bit, to 29.7%, from 34.5% the year before. For both years, nearly three in four (73.4% this year, 74.8% in 2011) described the current business situation for their firms as “very” to “intensely” competitive—further evidence that AEC firms are still struggling for every dollar.
HEALTHCARE, DATA CENTERS LOOK PROMISING FOR ’13
Respondents were asked to rate their firms’ prospects in specific construction sectors on a five-point scale from “excellent” to “very weak.” (Respondents who checked “Not applicable/No opinion/Don’t know” are not counted here.) Among the findings:
- Healthcare continued to be the most highly rated sector, with nearly three-fifths of respondents (58.8%, vs. 54.6% last year) giving it a “good” to “excellent” rating.
- Data centers and mission-critical facilities were also up, with the majority of respondents (52.1%) in the good/excellent category, compared to 45.2% last year
- Senior and assisted-living facilities made a big jump, from last year’s 37.8% of respondents in the good/excellent category, to a majority this year, at 50.5%.
- Government and military work was rated good to excellent by 36.1% of respondents, down slightly from last year’s 41.1%.
- University/college facilities were rated good to excellent by 37.8% of respondents, versus 32.3% in 2011.
- Retail commercial construction got a slight vote of confidence, with nearly one-fifth of respondents (19.9%) stating they thought their firms would have a good to excellent year, nearly double last year’s 11.1%.
- Industrial and warehouse facilities might be staging a comeback: One-fourth (25.5%) of respondents whose firms engaged in that sector said they expect a good to excellent year in 2013; on the other hand, 35.8% said it would be weak or very weak.
Reconstruction—including historic preservation and renovations—accounted for at least 25% of work for more than a third (34.6%) of respondents’ firms, roughly the same as last year (36.3%). Office interiors and fitouts were down, with only 35.7% of this year’s respondents saying this sector would be good to excellent, compared to 42.7% last year.
The prospects for office buildings looked bleak, however, with only 15.6% saying that market would be good to excellent. The majority (55.2%) predicted office buildings would be “weak” or “very weak,” but that’s an improvement from 2011’s 67.3%.
The K-12 sector looked basically flat, with good/excellent responses from 22.9% of respondents this year, compared to 23.2% last year.
As for the use of building information modeling, one-fifth (20.2%) said their firm did not use BIM, about the same as in 2011 (20.6%). Of those who said their firms used BIM, a healthy 26.8% said BIM was used in the majority of projects, based on dollar value—precisely the same as last year. Only a few saw the use of BIM declining in the coming year. Nearly two-fifths (39.0%) of respondents said their companies would be beefing up their investments in technology.
On the communications front, nearly a third of respondents (32.9%) said they did not use social media. Of those who said they did, LinkedIn was the clear choice, at 85.1%, with Facebook in second place (49.5%) and Twitter bringing up the rear (21.1%).
Note: Of the 428 who gave their professional description, 42.1% were architects; 18.7%, engineers; 23.8%, contractors; 5.6% building owners, developers, or facility/property managers; and 9.8%, consultants or “other.” +
Related Stories
K-12 Schools | Apr 10, 2024
Surprise, surprise: Students excel in modernized K-12 school buildings
Too many of the nation’s school districts are having to make it work with less-than-ideal educational facilities. But at what cost to student performance and staff satisfaction?
Industrial Facilities | Apr 9, 2024
Confessions of a cold storage architect
Designing energy-efficient cold storage facilities that keep food safe and look beautiful takes special knowledge.
Cultural Facilities | Apr 8, 2024
Multipurpose sports facility will be first completed building at Obama Presidential Center
When it opens in late 2025, the Home Court will be the first completed space on the Obama Presidential Center campus in Chicago. Located on the southwest corner of the 19.3-acre Obama Presidential Center in Jackson Park, the Home Court will be the largest gathering space on the campus. Renderings recently have been released of the 45,000-sf multipurpose sports facility and events space designed by Moody Nolan.
Green | Apr 8, 2024
LEED v5 released for public comment
The U.S. Green Building Council (USGBC) has opened the first public comment period for the first draft of LEED v5. The new version of the LEED green building rating system will drive deep decarbonization, quality of life improvements, and ecological conservation and restoration, USGBC says.
Codes and Standards | Apr 8, 2024
Boston’s plans to hold back rising seawater stall amid real estate slowdown
Boston has placed significant aspects of its plan to protect the city from rising sea levels on the actions of private developers. Amid a post-Covid commercial development slump, though, efforts to build protective infrastructure have stalled.
Sustainability | Apr 8, 2024
3 sustainable design decisions to make early
In her experience as an architect, Megan Valentine AIA, LEED AP, NCARB, WELL AP, Fitwel, Director of Sustainability, KTGY has found three impactful sustainable design decisions: site selection, massing and orientation, and proper window-to-wall ratios.
Brick and Masonry | Apr 4, 2024
Best in brick buildings: 9 projects take top honors in the Brick in Architecture Awards
The Ace Hotel Toronto, designed by Shim-Sutcliffe Architects, and the TCU Music Center by Bora Architecture & Interiors are among nine "Best in Class" winners and 44 overall winners in the Brick Industry Association's 2023 Brick in Architecture Awards.
Retail Centers | Apr 4, 2024
Retail design trends: Consumers are looking for wellness in where they shop
Consumers are making lifestyle choices with wellness in mind, which ignites in them a feeling of purpose and a sense of motivation. That’s the conclusion that the architecture and design firm MG2 draws from a survey of 1,182 U.S. adult consumers the firm conducted last December about retail design and what consumers want in healthier shopping experiences.
Healthcare Facilities | Apr 3, 2024
Foster + Partners, CannonDesign unveil design for Mayo Clinic campus expansion
A redesign of the Mayo Clinic’s downtown campus in Rochester, Minn., centers around two new clinical high-rise buildings. The two nine-story structures will reach a height of 221 feet, with the potential to expand to 420 feet.
Sports and Recreational Facilities | Apr 2, 2024
How university rec centers are evolving to support wellbeing
In a LinkedIn Live, Recreation & Wellbeing’s Sadat Khan and Abby Diehl joined HOK architect Emily Ostertag to discuss the growing trend to design and program rec centers to support mental wellbeing and holistic health.