Associated Builders and Contractors recently reported that its Construction Backlog Indicator expanded to 8.8 months in February 2019, up 0.7 months (8.2%) from January 2019, when the backlog dipped to 8.1 months.
“As predicted, the decreased backlog in the first month of the year reversed in February,” said Anirban Basu, ABC’s chief economist. “Low January readings are typically due to seasonal factors like the holidays and weather, but this year they were further affected by the federal government shutdown. In particular, the backlog in the infrastructure category increased significantly from January to February, which is consistent with the notion that the shutdown delayed a meaningful amount of contract signing.
“The heavy industrial segment was the only category in which backlog declined in February,” said Basu. “In the context of a weakening global economy and a strong dollar, which suppresses U.S. export growth, it is not altogether surprising that construction backlog declined in this category. This also helps explain slightly diminished backlog in the Middle States, which tend to rely more on industrial production. Backlog also bounced back in the commercial/institutional category, an indication of confidence among private developers on both coasts.”
“In general, nonresidential construction activity lags the overall economy by 12 to 18 months,” said Basu. “Last year was good for the economy, with the implication that contractors should expect to remain busy in 2019."
Related Stories
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending falls slightly in August
Of the 16 nonresidential subcategories, nine were down on a monthly basis.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Construction spending rises 1.4% in August as residential boom outweighs private nonresidential decline and flat public categories
Construction officials caution that demand for non-residential construction will continue to stagnate without new federal coronavirus recovery measures, including infrastructure and liability reform.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 5, 2020
Zaha Hadid unveils 2 Murray Road and the AEC industry is weathering COVID-19 better than most.
Market Data | Oct 2, 2020
AEC industry is weathering COVID-19 better than most
Nearly one-third of firms have had layoffs, more than 90% have experienced project delays.
Market Data | Oct 2, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 2, 2020
BIG imagines how to live on the moon and smart buildings stand on good data.
Market Data | Oct 1, 2020
Two-thirds of metros shed construction jobs from August 2019 to August 2020
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land and Brockton-Bridgewater-Easton, Mass. have worst 12-month losses, while Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind. and Niles-Benton Harbor, Mich. top job gainers.
Market Data | Oct 1, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 1, 2020
David Adjaye to receive 2021 Royal Gold Medal for Architecture and SOM reimagines the former Cook County Hospital.
Market Data | Sep 30, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 30, 2020
Heatherwick Studio designs The Cove for San Francisco and Washington, D.C.'s first modular apartment building.
Market Data | Sep 29, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 29, 2020
Renovation to Providence's downtown library is completed and Amazon to build 1,500 new last-mile warehouses.
Market Data | Sep 25, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 25, 2020
AIA releases latest 2030 Commitment results and news delivery robots could generate trillions for U.S. economy.