Associated Builders and Contractors recently reported that its Construction Backlog Indicator contracted to 8.1 months during January 2019, down 0.8 months or 9.3% compared to the fourth quarter 2018 reading of 8.9 months.
“This represents the latest in a number of indicators suggesting that U.S. economic momentum has begun to wane,” said Anirban Basu, ABC’s chief economist. “Other data tracking retail sales, employment growth and the trade deficit suggest that in contrast to 2018, this year will not be as strong from an economic growth perspective.
“January’s decline in nonresidential backlog was significant, slipping to levels last observed in 2014,” said Basu. “From an industry segment perspective, the decline in backlog was especially sharp in the infrastructure category, which may have been related to the federal shutdown in January.
“There was one meaningful exception in the Middle States, where backlog continues to rise,” said Basu. “This is potentially a result of stronger industrial production growth in 2017 and 2018, which has produced greater demand for modern industrial space. As with any January data release, weather may also have played a role in shaping the results. Accordingly, more clarity regarding contractual activity will arrive during the months ahead.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Oct 26, 2018
Nonresidential fixed investment returns to earth in Q3
Despite the broader economic growth, fixed investment inched 0.3% lower in the third quarter.
Market Data | Oct 24, 2018
Architecture firm billings slow but remain positive in September
Billings growth slows but is stable across sectors.
Market Data | Oct 19, 2018
New York’s five-year construction spending boom could be slowing over the next two years
Nonresidential building could still add more than 90 million sf through 2020.
Market Data | Oct 8, 2018
Global construction set to rise to US$12.9 trillion by 2022, driven by Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East
The pace of global construction growth is set to improve slightly to 3.7% between 2019 and 2020.
Market Data | Sep 25, 2018
Contractors remain upbeat in Q2, according to ABC’s latest Construction Confidence Index
More than three in four construction firms expect that sales will continue to rise over the next six months, while three in five expect higher profit margins.
Market Data | Sep 24, 2018
Hotel construction pipeline reaches record highs
There are 5,988 projects/1,133,017 rooms currently under construction worldwide.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2018
JLL fit out report portrays a hot but tenant-favorable office market
This year’s analysis draws from 2,800 projects.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2018
Mid-year forecast: No end in sight for growth cycle
The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast is projecting 4.7% growth in nonresidential construction spending in 2018.
Market Data | Sep 19, 2018
August architecture firm billings rebound as building investment spurt continues
Southern region, multifamily residential sector lead growth.
Market Data | Sep 18, 2018
Altus Group report reveals shifts in trade policy, technology, and financing are disrupting global real estate development industry
International trade uncertainty, widespread construction skills shortage creating perfect storm for escalating project costs; property development leaders split on potential impact of emerging technologies.
