Associated Builders and Contractors reports today that its Construction Backlog Indicator rose to 8.0 months in May, according to an ABC member survey conducted from May 20 to June 2, 0.1 months higher than in April 2021 and May 2020.
While ABC’s Construction Confidence Index readings for sales increased modestly in May, confidence regarding profit margins and staffing levels slipped. All three indices remain above the threshold of 50, indicating expectations of growth over the next six months.
“Nonresidential construction backlog continues to edge higher, consistent with expectations that sales, profit margins and staffing will expand over the next six months,” said ABC chief economist Anirban Basu. “For at least four reasons, this represents an extraordinary set of findings.
“First, materials prices have risen significantly over the past year and labor costs are also on the rise,” said Basu. “All things equal, one might think this would suppress profit margin growth. Apparently, demand for construction services is strong enough to generate sufficient pricing power to more than fully countervail those factors. Second, skills shortages continue to impact the construction industry and many other segments. Despite that, the average nonresidential contractor expects to expand their teams during the months ahead.
“Third, conventional wisdom suggests that commercial real estate fundamentals are weak in the context of remote working, online shopping and sluggish business travel,” said Basu. “Nonetheless, backlog in the commercial category remains stable. Fourth and finally, while there has been much talk about a federal infrastructure plan, it remains elusive. Nonetheless, backlog in the infrastructure category rose significantly in May, perhaps a reflection of stronger state and local government balance sheets and associated increases in infrastructure outlays. In sum, contractors can expect healthy growth in activity through the balance of 2021.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Jun 22, 2020
Construction employment rises from April to May in 45 states, slips in 5
Rebound from April job losses reflects one-shot help from paycheck protection program loans and easing of stay-at-home orders, but cancellations and state and local deficits imply further cuts ahead.
Market Data | Jun 19, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 19, 2020
Brown University's first housing building in three decades and demand for family rentals expected to jump.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
New data shows construction activity returning to pre-coronavirus levels in many parts of the country
Association survey and data collected by Procore measure impacts of the pandemic, showing signs of a construction recovery, but labor shortages and project cancellations show industry needs federal help.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
AIA releases strategies and illustrations for reducing risk of COVID-19 in schools
For the 2020-21 school year, districts are facing the difficult task of determining if K-12 schools will reopen this fall.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 18, 2020
Northbrook's new cannabis dispensary and America's structural steel industry remains a success story.
Market Data | Jun 17, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 17, 2020
Santa Fe becomes the second city in the world to achieve LEED v4.1 and the megacity is dead.
Market Data | Jun 16, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 16, 2020
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has its own brewery and workers want policy changes before they return to offices.
Market Data | Jun 15, 2020
International Code Council offers guidance on building re-occupancy for reopening economies
Companies and building managers can access free resources at the Code Council’s Coronavirus Response Center.
Market Data | Jun 12, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 12, 2020
How will museums change in the face of COVID-19 and the patriarch of The Boldt Company dies.
Market Data | Jun 11, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 11, 2020
Istanbul opens largest base-isolated hospital in the world and AIA issues tools for reducing risk of COVID-19 transmission in buildings.