Real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded only 0.5% on a seasonally adjusted annual rate during 2016's first quarter according to an analysis of Bureau of Economic Analysis data released today by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC). This disappointing figure follows a 1.4% annualized rate of economic output expansion during the fourth quarter of 2015.
Nonresidential fixed investment struggled with a 5.9% decline during the year's first three months after falling 2.1% during 2015's final quarter. Nonresidential fixed investment in structures fared particularly poorly, declining 10.7% during the first quarter on an annualized basis while nonresidential investment in equipment fell 8.6%.
"Aside from consumer spending growth, state and local government spending growth and residential building, very little expanded in America during the first three months of 2016," said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. "It is quite conceivable that the current U.S. economic expansion will end before the economy registers a 3% or better rate of growth for a single calendar year. The last time the U.S. economy expanded more than 3% was in 2005, when the economy expanded 3.4%."
"Corporate profitability has been slipping in recent quarters and the mergers and acquisition marketplace has heated up, an unfavorable sign for nonresidential contractors," said Basu. "Many corporate CEOs continue to use available cash to purchase competitors either to gain access to product pipelines, thereby diminishing required product development expenses, or to generate cost savings by eliminating duplicative functions. The result is a lack of business investment generally and a slowing pace of private nonresidential construction spending growth. If it not for an enormous amount of foreign money coming to our shores, private nonresidential construction growth would have been even softer in early 2016. While falling energy-related investment and seasonal factors represent important parts of the story, there are indications of a broader malaise."
The following segments highlight the first quarter GDP release:
- Personal consumption expenditures rose 1.9% on an annualized basis during the first quarter of 2016 after growing 2.4% during the fourth quarter of 2015.
- Spending on goods inched 0.1% higher during the first quarter after expanding by 1.6% during the fourth quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 0.9% in the first quarter after rising 1.6% in the fourth.
- Federal government spending fell by 1.6% in the year's first quarter after expanding 2.3% in the fourth quarter of 2015.
- Nondefense spending increased by 1.5% in both the first quarter of 2016 and the fourth quarter of 2015.
- National defense spending fell by 3.6% in the fourth quarter after registering a 2.8% increase in the previous quarter.
- State and local government spending increased by 2.9% in the first quarter after falling 1.2% during the prior quarter.
Related Stories
Industry Research | Oct 25, 2016
New HOK/CoreNet Global report explores impact of coworking on corporate real rstate
“Although coworking space makes up less than one percent of the world’s office space, it represents an important workforce trend and highlights the strong desire of today’s employees to have workplace choices, community and flexibility,” says Kay Sargent, Director of WorkPlace at HOK.
Market Data | Oct 24, 2016
New construction starts in 2017 to increase 5% to $713 billion
Dodge Outlook Report predicts moderate growth for most project types – single family housing, commercial and institutional building, and public works, while multifamily housing levels off and electric utilities/gas plants decline.
High-rise Construction | Oct 21, 2016
The world’s 100 tallest buildings: Which architects have designed the most?
Two firms stand well above the others when it comes to the number of tall buildings they have designed.
Market Data | Oct 19, 2016
Architecture Billings Index slips consecutive months for first time since 2012
“This recent backslide should act as a warning signal,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker.
Market Data | Oct 11, 2016
Building design revenue topped $28 billion in 2015
Growing profitability at architecture firms has led to reinvestment and expansion
Market Data | Oct 4, 2016
Nonresidential spending slips in August
Public sector spending is declining faster than the private sector.
Industry Research | Oct 3, 2016
Structure Tone survey shows cost is still a major barrier to building green
Climate change, resilience and wellness are also growing concerns.
Industry Research | Sep 27, 2016
Sterling Risk Sentiment Index indicates risk exposure perception remains stable in construction industry
Nearly half (45%) of those polled say election year uncertainty has a negative effect on risk perception in the construction market.
Market Data | Sep 22, 2016
Architecture Billings Index slips, overall outlook remains positive
Business conditions are slumping in the Northeast.
Market Data | Sep 20, 2016
Backlog skyrockets for largest firms during second quarter, but falls to 8.5 months overall
While a handful of commercial construction segments continue to be associated with expanding volumes, for the most part, the average contractor is no longer getting busier, says ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu.