Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) forecasts a slowdown of growth in the U.S. commercial and industrial construction industries in 2017. While contractors are vulnerable to rising commodity prices and potential interest rate increases in 2017, the middling consumer-led recovery should still lead to modest growth in construction spending and employment.
“The U.S. economy continues to expand amid a weak global economy and, despite risks to the construction industry, nonresidential spending should expand 3.5 percent in 2017,” says ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu in a press release. “For more than two years, the Federal Reserve has been able to focus heavily on stimulating economic growth and moving the nation toward full employment. However, as commodity prices, including energy prices, firm up and labor costs march higher, the Federal Reserve will need to be more concerned about rising inflation expectations going forward.
“Contractors also should be prepared for increases in commodity prices, which could translate into further stagnation in construction spending volumes if the purchasers of construction services are not prepared for related cost increases,” warns Basu.
However, the average age of all fixed assets, including structures like factories and hospitals, currently stands at 23 years, which is the oldest on record dating back to 1925. Most enterprises realize they will need to replace a lot of their capital stock in the near future, meaning there is a bullish scenario that could take place.
Basu’s full forecast is available in the December issue of ABC’s Construction Executive magazine, along with the regional outlook for commercial and industrial construction by Dr. Bernard Markstein, president and chief economist of Markstein Advisors, who conducts state-level economic analysis for ABC.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 21, 2021
Architecture Billings Index robust growth continues
AIA’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score for June remained at an elevated level of 57.1.
Market Data | Jul 20, 2021
Multifamily proposal activity maintains sizzling pace in Q2
Condos hit record high as all multifamily properties benefit from recovery.
Market Data | Jul 19, 2021
Construction employment trails pre-pandemic level in 39 states
Supply chain challenges, rising materials prices undermine demand.
Market Data | Jul 15, 2021
Producer prices for construction materials and services soar 26% over 12 months
Contractors cope with supply hitches, weak demand.
Market Data | Jul 13, 2021
ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator and Contractor Confidence Index rise in June
ABC’s Construction Confidence Index readings for sales, profit margins and staffing levels increased modestly in June.
Market Data | Jul 8, 2021
Encouraging construction cost trends are emerging
In its latest quarterly report, Rider Levett Bucknall states that contractors’ most critical choice will be selecting which building sectors to target.
Multifamily Housing | Jul 7, 2021
Make sure to get your multifamily amenities mix right
One of the hardest decisions multifamily developers and their design teams have to make is what mix of amenities they’re going to put into each project. A lot of squiggly factors go into that decision: the type of community, the geographic market, local recreation preferences, climate/weather conditions, physical parameters, and of course the budget. The permutations are mind-boggling.
Market Data | Jul 7, 2021
Construction employment declines by 7,000 in June
Nonresidential firms struggle to find workers and materials to complete projects.
Market Data | Jun 30, 2021
Construction employment in May trails pre-covid levels in 91 metro areas
Firms struggle to cope with materials, labor challenges.
Market Data | Jun 23, 2021
Construction employment declines in 40 states between April and May
Soaring material costs, supply-chain disruptions impede recovery.