Both real gross domestic product (GDP) and nonresidential fixed investment expanded during the third quarter, according to an analysis by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) of a release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. GDP expanded 1.5% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the third quarter while nonresidential fixed investment expanded by 2.1% during that period, both building on positive results from the previous quarter.
The bureau estimated that GDP expanded 3.9% during the year's second quarter, while nonresidential fixed investment was revised upward to a 4.1% increase from an initial estimate of a 0.6% decrease. This marks the second consecutive release in which the previous quarter's nonresidential fixed investment figure was amended from negative to positive. Investment in nonresidential structures fell by 4% after growing by 6.2% in the second quarter.
"The U.S. economy is not quite as bad as the headline GDP number suggests," said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu in a statement. "Private final demand, an indicator that represents sales to nongovernmental domestic purchasers, expanded by 3.2% in the third quarter. Many economists consider this the most telling and persistent aspect of GDP, suggesting that the economy is healthier than some might suspect.
"The current quarter was heavily impacted by a foreseeable inventory adjustment, a stronger dollar and a weakening global economy," Basu said. "The fact that the recovery remains in place is reflected in fixed investment data, including the categories that relate most directly to nonresidential construction. While it is true that investment in structures slipped 4%, this largely appears to be a statistical give-back from the second quarter's better than 6% performance. Other data indicates ongoing momentum in nonresidential construction, which should be more apparent during ensuing GDP releases.
"The recovery will continue to be led by consumers," Basu said. "Interest rates will also feature prominently in terms of determining the extent to which the recovery will be sustained in 2016 and beyond. For now, ultra-low interest rates are inducing people to invest in order to generate financial yields. This has been a bonus for nonresidential construction, but potentially may be triggering over investment in certain construction segments."
Performance of key segments during the third quarter:
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.19% to GDP after contributing 2.42% in the second quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 4.5% from the second quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 2.9% for the third quarter after a 3.7% increase in the second quarter.
- Federal government spending increased 0.2% in the third quarter after remaining unchanged in the second quarter.
- Nondefense spending increased 2.8% after decreasing by 0.5% in the previous quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.4% after inching 0.3% higher in the second quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.5% after growing 1% in the first quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 2.6% during the third quarter after an increase of 4.3% in the second.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
MFPRO+ News | Jul 15, 2024
More permits for ADUs than single-family homes issued in San Diego
Popularity of granny flats growing in California
Codes and Standards | Jul 15, 2024
New York City code update changes definition of a major building
Changes affecting how construction projects in New York City are permitted will have significant impacts for contractors. On Dec. 11, the definition of a major building in the city’s code will change from 10 stories to seven, or 75 feet. The change will affect thousands more projects.
Adaptive Reuse | Jul 12, 2024
Detroit’s Michigan Central Station, centerpiece of innovation hub, opens
The recently opened Michigan Central Station in Detroit is the centerpiece of a 30-acre technology and cultural hub that will include development of urban transportation solutions. The six-year adaptive reuse project of the 640,000 sf historic station, created by the same architect as New York’s Grand Central Station, is the latest sign of a reinvigorating Detroit.
Healthcare Facilities | Jul 11, 2024
New download: BD+C's 2024 Healthcare Annual Report
Welcome to Building Design+Construction’s 2024 Healthcare Annual Report. This free 66-page special report is our first-ever “state of the state” update on the $65 billion healthcare construction sector.
Transit Facilities | Jul 10, 2024
Historic Fresno train depot to be renovated for California high speed rail station project
A long-shuttered rail station in Fresno, Calif., will be renovated to serve as the city’s high speed rail (HSR) station as part of the California High-Speed Rail Authority system, the nation’s first high speed rail project. California’s HSR system will eventually link more than 800 miles of rail, served by up to 24 stations.
Contractors | Jul 9, 2024
The average U.S. contractor has 8.4 months worth of construction work in the pipeline, as of June 2024
Associated Builders and Contractors reported today that its Construction Backlog Indicator increased to 8.4 months in June, according to an ABC member survey conducted June 20 to July 3. The reading is down 0.5 months from June 2023.
Government Buildings | Jul 8, 2024
GSA adopts new accessibility guidelines for federal properties
The U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) adopted a new rule with new accessibility guidelines for federal buildings. The rule establishes that pedestrian facilities in the public right-of-way are readily accessible to and usable by people with disabilities.
Office Buildings | Jul 8, 2024
Office vacancy peak of 22% to 28% forecasted for 2026
The work from home trend will continue to put pressure on the office real estate market, with peak vacancy of between 22% and 28% in 2026, according to a forecast by Moody’s.
Virtual Reality | Jul 8, 2024
Can a VR-enabled AEC firm transform your project?
With the aid of virtual reality and three-dimensional visualization technologies, designers, consultants, and their clients can envision a place as though the project were in a later stage.
Green | Jul 8, 2024
Global green building alliance releases guide for $35 trillion investment to achieve net zero, meet global energy transition goals
The international alliance of UK-based Building Research Establishment (BRE), the Green Building Council of Australia (GBCA), the Singapore Green Building Council (SGBC), the U.S. Green Building Council (USGBC), and the Alliance HQE-GBC France developed the guide, Financing Transformation: A Guide to Green Building for Green Bonds and Green Loans, to strengthen global cooperation between the finance and real estate sectors.