Both real gross domestic product (GDP) and nonresidential fixed investment expanded during the third quarter, according to an analysis by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) of a release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. GDP expanded 1.5% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the third quarter while nonresidential fixed investment expanded by 2.1% during that period, both building on positive results from the previous quarter.
The bureau estimated that GDP expanded 3.9% during the year's second quarter, while nonresidential fixed investment was revised upward to a 4.1% increase from an initial estimate of a 0.6% decrease. This marks the second consecutive release in which the previous quarter's nonresidential fixed investment figure was amended from negative to positive. Investment in nonresidential structures fell by 4% after growing by 6.2% in the second quarter.
"The U.S. economy is not quite as bad as the headline GDP number suggests," said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu in a statement. "Private final demand, an indicator that represents sales to nongovernmental domestic purchasers, expanded by 3.2% in the third quarter. Many economists consider this the most telling and persistent aspect of GDP, suggesting that the economy is healthier than some might suspect.
"The current quarter was heavily impacted by a foreseeable inventory adjustment, a stronger dollar and a weakening global economy," Basu said. "The fact that the recovery remains in place is reflected in fixed investment data, including the categories that relate most directly to nonresidential construction. While it is true that investment in structures slipped 4%, this largely appears to be a statistical give-back from the second quarter's better than 6% performance. Other data indicates ongoing momentum in nonresidential construction, which should be more apparent during ensuing GDP releases.
"The recovery will continue to be led by consumers," Basu said. "Interest rates will also feature prominently in terms of determining the extent to which the recovery will be sustained in 2016 and beyond. For now, ultra-low interest rates are inducing people to invest in order to generate financial yields. This has been a bonus for nonresidential construction, but potentially may be triggering over investment in certain construction segments."
Performance of key segments during the third quarter:
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.19% to GDP after contributing 2.42% in the second quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 4.5% from the second quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 2.9% for the third quarter after a 3.7% increase in the second quarter.
- Federal government spending increased 0.2% in the third quarter after remaining unchanged in the second quarter.
- Nondefense spending increased 2.8% after decreasing by 0.5% in the previous quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.4% after inching 0.3% higher in the second quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.5% after growing 1% in the first quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 2.6% during the third quarter after an increase of 4.3% in the second.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
| Apr 25, 2012
Bubble skyscraper design aims to purify drinking water
The Freshwater Skyscraper will address the issue of increasing water scarcity through a process known as transpiration
| Apr 25, 2012
Thornton Tomasetti/Fore Solutions provides consulting for Biologics Support Center
Project receives LEED Gold Certification.
| Apr 25, 2012
McCarthy introduces high school students to a career in construction
High school students from the ACE Mentoring Program tour the new CHOC Children’s Patient Tower in Orange, Calif.
| Apr 25, 2012
Missner Group names McCrory VP of property management
McCrory will be responsible for overseeing the financial and operational needs of the firm’s commercial real estate portfolio which includes more than two million square feet of property.
| Apr 25, 2012
Rogers joins Morgan/Harbour as senior project manager
Rogers will also manage the construction process and daily activities as well as act as the interface between the subcontractors, owners, municipalities and regulatory agencies
| Apr 25, 2012
J.C. Anderson selected for 50,000-sf build out at Chicago’s DePaul University
The build-out will consist of the construction of new offices, meeting rooms, video rooms and a state-of-the-art multi-tiered Trading Room.
| Apr 24, 2012
ULI Real Estate Consensus Forecast, projects improvements for the real estate industry through 2014
Survey is based on opinions from 38 of the nation’s leading real estate economists and analysts and suggests a marked increase in commercial real estate activity, with total transaction volume expected to rise from $250 billion in 2012 to $312 billion in 2014.
| Apr 24, 2012
Roofing Supply Group acquired by Clayton, Dubilier & Rice
RSG provides a complete offering of residential and commercial roofing materials and related supplies.
| Apr 24, 2012
McLennan named Ashoka Fellow
McLennan was recognized for his work on the Living Building Challenge.
| Apr 24, 2012
AECOM design and engineering team realizes NASA vision for Sustainability Base
LEED Platinum facility opens at NASA Ames Research Center at California’s Moffett Field.