Both real gross domestic product (GDP) and nonresidential fixed investment expanded during the third quarter, according to an analysis by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) of a release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. GDP expanded 1.5% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the third quarter while nonresidential fixed investment expanded by 2.1% during that period, both building on positive results from the previous quarter.
The bureau estimated that GDP expanded 3.9% during the year's second quarter, while nonresidential fixed investment was revised upward to a 4.1% increase from an initial estimate of a 0.6% decrease. This marks the second consecutive release in which the previous quarter's nonresidential fixed investment figure was amended from negative to positive. Investment in nonresidential structures fell by 4% after growing by 6.2% in the second quarter.
"The U.S. economy is not quite as bad as the headline GDP number suggests," said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu in a statement. "Private final demand, an indicator that represents sales to nongovernmental domestic purchasers, expanded by 3.2% in the third quarter. Many economists consider this the most telling and persistent aspect of GDP, suggesting that the economy is healthier than some might suspect.
"The current quarter was heavily impacted by a foreseeable inventory adjustment, a stronger dollar and a weakening global economy," Basu said. "The fact that the recovery remains in place is reflected in fixed investment data, including the categories that relate most directly to nonresidential construction. While it is true that investment in structures slipped 4%, this largely appears to be a statistical give-back from the second quarter's better than 6% performance. Other data indicates ongoing momentum in nonresidential construction, which should be more apparent during ensuing GDP releases.
"The recovery will continue to be led by consumers," Basu said. "Interest rates will also feature prominently in terms of determining the extent to which the recovery will be sustained in 2016 and beyond. For now, ultra-low interest rates are inducing people to invest in order to generate financial yields. This has been a bonus for nonresidential construction, but potentially may be triggering over investment in certain construction segments."
Performance of key segments during the third quarter:
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.19% to GDP after contributing 2.42% in the second quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 4.5% from the second quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 2.9% for the third quarter after a 3.7% increase in the second quarter.
- Federal government spending increased 0.2% in the third quarter after remaining unchanged in the second quarter.
- Nondefense spending increased 2.8% after decreasing by 0.5% in the previous quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.4% after inching 0.3% higher in the second quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.5% after growing 1% in the first quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 2.6% during the third quarter after an increase of 4.3% in the second.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
| Apr 5, 2013
'My BIM journey' – 6 lessons from a BIM/VDC expert
Gensler's Jared Krieger offers important tips and advice for managing complex BIM/VDC-driven projects.
| Apr 5, 2013
Commercial greenhouse will top new Whole Foods store in Brooklyn
Whole Foods and partner Gotham Greens will create a 20,000-sf greenhouse atop one of the retailer's Brooklyn supermarkets. Expected to open this fall, the facility will supply produce to nine Whole Foods stores in metro New York City.
| Apr 5, 2013
Projected cost for Apple's Campus 2 balloons to $5 billion
Campus 2, Apple Inc.'s proposed ring-shaped office facility in Cupertino, Calif., could cost $5 billion to build, according to a report by Bloomberg.
| Apr 5, 2013
Extreme LEGO: Wondrous micro city built out of 200,000 blocks
Master LEGO builder Mike Doyle unveils his latest creation, an out-of-this-world micro city that celebrates peaceful alien contact.
| Apr 3, 2013
AIA CES class: Sealant repairs that last – hybrid sealants for building restoration
It is hard to talk about restoration without talking about sustainability. This two-hour interactive online course discusses the role that restoration can and does play in the arena of sustainability, and specifically the role that sealants play in sustainable design and repair.
| Apr 3, 2013
Construction spending up 20% since 2011, growth will continue, says Gilbane report
The monthly rate of construction spending is up 20% in 24 months and increased in 18 of the last 24 months, which is a good leading indicator for new construction work in Q3-Q4 2013, according to Gilbane's latest Market Conditions in Construction report.
| Apr 3, 2013
5 award-winning modular buildings
The Modular Building Institute recently revealed the winners of its annual Awards of Distinction contest. There were 42 winners in all across six categories. Here are five projects that caught our eye.
| Apr 2, 2013
6 lobby design tips
If you do hotels, schools, student unions, office buildings, performing arts centers, transportation facilities, or any structure with a lobby, here are six principles from healthcare lobby design that make for happier users—and more satisfied owners.
| Apr 2, 2013
Green building consultant explores the truth about green building performance in new book
A new book from leading sustainability, green building author and expert Jerry Yudelson challenges assumptions about the value of sustainable design and environmentally-friendly buildings.