Both real gross domestic product (GDP) and nonresidential fixed investment expanded during the third quarter, according to an analysis by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) of a release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. GDP expanded 1.5% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) during the third quarter while nonresidential fixed investment expanded by 2.1% during that period, both building on positive results from the previous quarter.
The bureau estimated that GDP expanded 3.9% during the year's second quarter, while nonresidential fixed investment was revised upward to a 4.1% increase from an initial estimate of a 0.6% decrease. This marks the second consecutive release in which the previous quarter's nonresidential fixed investment figure was amended from negative to positive. Investment in nonresidential structures fell by 4% after growing by 6.2% in the second quarter.
"The U.S. economy is not quite as bad as the headline GDP number suggests," said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu in a statement. "Private final demand, an indicator that represents sales to nongovernmental domestic purchasers, expanded by 3.2% in the third quarter. Many economists consider this the most telling and persistent aspect of GDP, suggesting that the economy is healthier than some might suspect.
"The current quarter was heavily impacted by a foreseeable inventory adjustment, a stronger dollar and a weakening global economy," Basu said. "The fact that the recovery remains in place is reflected in fixed investment data, including the categories that relate most directly to nonresidential construction. While it is true that investment in structures slipped 4%, this largely appears to be a statistical give-back from the second quarter's better than 6% performance. Other data indicates ongoing momentum in nonresidential construction, which should be more apparent during ensuing GDP releases.
"The recovery will continue to be led by consumers," Basu said. "Interest rates will also feature prominently in terms of determining the extent to which the recovery will be sustained in 2016 and beyond. For now, ultra-low interest rates are inducing people to invest in order to generate financial yields. This has been a bonus for nonresidential construction, but potentially may be triggering over investment in certain construction segments."
Performance of key segments during the third quarter:
- Personal consumption expenditures added 2.19% to GDP after contributing 2.42% in the second quarter.
- Spending on goods grew 4.5% from the second quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 2.9% for the third quarter after a 3.7% increase in the second quarter.
- Federal government spending increased 0.2% in the third quarter after remaining unchanged in the second quarter.
- Nondefense spending increased 2.8% after decreasing by 0.5% in the previous quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.4% after inching 0.3% higher in the second quarter.
- National defense spending fell 1.5% after growing 1% in the first quarter.
- State and local government spending expanded 2.6% during the third quarter after an increase of 4.3% in the second.
To view the previous GDP report, click here.
Related Stories
Contractors | Dec 9, 2019
Layton Construction to join the STO Building Group
Merger will expand both firms’ geographic reach and services.
Big Data | Dec 4, 2019
AEC data's coming out party
AEC firms are finally putting to use project information they’ve been storing in their computers for years.
Building Owners | Dec 2, 2019
What building owners and AEC teams need to know about New York’s Climate Mobilization Act
On April 18, 2019, the New York City Council passed the Climate Mobilization Act, a suite of laws aimed to meet the city’s commitment to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050.
Multifamily Housing | Nov 7, 2019
Multifamily construction market remains strong heading into 2020
Fewer than one in 10 AEC firms doing multifamily work reported a decrease in proposal activity in Q3 2019, according to a PSMJ report.
Contractors | Nov 5, 2019
Updated AIA contracts clarify the role of construction managers
The revised documents refine how CMs serve as general contractors or project advisers.
Architects | Oct 29, 2019
Top takeaways from the Lean Construction Institute Congress 2019
More than 1,600 Lean experts gathered in Texas this month for LCI Congress 2019. Here are key takeaways from the event.
Giants 400 | Oct 25, 2019
Top 55 Airport Sector Construction Firms for 2019
Hensel Phelps, AECOM, Turner, Skanska, and PCL top the rankings of the nation's largest airport terminal sector contractors and construction management firms, as reported in Building Design+Construction's 2019 Giants 300 Report.
Giants 400 | Oct 24, 2019
Top 80 Retail Construction Firms for 2019
PCL, VCC, Whiting-Turner, Shawmut, and W.E. O'Neil top the rankings of the nation's largest retail sector contractors and construction management firms, as reported in Building Design+Construction's 2019 Giants 300 Report.
Contractors | Oct 24, 2019
Get them while they’re young: programs that promote the construction industry target students
Turner uses one of its jobsites in Nashville to immerse middle-school teachers in the ins and outs of building.
Contractors | Oct 17, 2019
Are contractors collecting what they need to make better decisions?
Research focused on five key types of data: project progress, manhours, productivity, safety, and equipment management.