In its latest outlook report for the multifamily rental market, Yardi Matrix outlined several reasons for hope for a solid recovery for the multifamily housing sector in 2021, especially during the second half of the year.
While multifamily owners, developers, and property managers collectively braced for severe drops in rent growth, construction starts, project completions, and availability of capital amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the drastic declines never materialized.
Rent growth did take a step back in select markets, especially in "high-cost gateway" metros like San Jose (-13.7%) and San Francisco (-9.4%), as renters continued to leave pricey urban neighborhoods for less-dense, cheaper suburban areas.
But on the flip side, "many tertiary and tech hub markets have benefited from migration out of the gateways," wrote the authors of the Yardi Matrix report. Secondary and tech markets like the Inland Empire, Sacramento, Tampa, and Las Vegas all saw solid rent growth in 2020.
Multifamily construction pipeline for 2021
Other than the temporary shutdowns of work sites during the pandemic, construction work on multifamily housing developments continued to hum along through 2020 and into 2021. In all, 285,000 multifamily units were delivered throughout U.S. markets in 2020, down about 7% from 2019, but not nearly as severe a drop as many had predicted.
According to Yardi Matrix, the multifamily sector has a "robust pipeline" of new projects, with some 765,000 units in some stage of construction as of early 2021. This "should keep deliveries above that 300,000 mark for the next few years." The firm projects 327,718 units will be delivered in 2021.
Here are the top 25 multifamily markets for 2021 (total number of construction completions, % growth in completions YOY):
1. Dallas: 22,909 completions (+12.1% YOY)
2. Miami: 16,262 (+66.3%)
3. Washington, D.C.: 14,541 (+50.5%)
4. Houston: 11,500 (-3.1%)
5. Los Angeles: 11,296 (+16.5%)
6. Atlanta: 10,939 (+9.7%)
7. Austin: 10,301 (-10.0%)
8. Seattle: 9,816 (+29.9%)
9. Phoenix: 9,334 (+13.6%)
10. Denver: 8,653 (-29.7%)
11. Boston: 8,449 (+20.8%)
12. Chicago: 7,797 (+0.8%)
13. New York City: 7,335 (+24.2%)
14. San Francisco: 7,166 (+64.8%)
15. Twin Cities: 6,760 (+4.9%)
16. Charlotte: 6,692 (+55.3%)
17. Orlando: 6,662 (+21.5%)
18. Philadelphia: 6,071 (+27.7%)
19. Nashville: 5,457 (+41.1%)
20. Tampa–St. Petersburg: 5,103 (+20.1%)
21. San Antonio: 4,960 (-6.5%)
22. New Jersey–Northern: 4,955 (+29.9%)
23. Salt Lake City: 4,633 (-0.6%)
24. Louisville: 4,484 (+215.6%)
25. White Plains: 4,464 (+199.6%)
DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT
Related Stories
Multifamily Housing | Sep 1, 2021
Top 10 outdoor amenities at multifamily housing developments for 2021
Fire pits, lounge areas, and covered parking are the most common outdoor amenities at multifamily housing developments, according to new research from Multifamily Design+Construction.
Giants 400 | Aug 30, 2021
2021 Giants 400 Report: Ranking the largest architecture, engineering, and construction firms in the U.S.
The 2021 Giants 400 Report includes more than 130 rankings across 25 building sectors and specialty categories.
Multifamily Housing | Aug 30, 2021
366-unit multifamily community breaks ground San Jose
KTGY designed the project.
Multifamily Housing | Aug 27, 2021
ODA completes West Half, its first D.C. project
The project is located in Washington, D.C.’s Navy Yard.
Multifamily Housing | Aug 26, 2021
Luxury residential tower breaks ground in Downtown Phoenix
The tower will rise 26 stories.
Multifamily Housing | Aug 19, 2021
Multifamily emerges strong from the pandemic, with Yardi Matrix's Doug Ressler
Yardi Matrix's Doug Ressler discusses his firm's latest assessment of multifamily sales and rent growth for 2021.
Resiliency | Aug 19, 2021
White paper outlines cost-effective flood protection approaches for building owners
A new white paper from Walter P Moore offers an in-depth review of the flood protection process and proven approaches.
Senior Living Design | Aug 13, 2021
Designing with dignity for senior living, with Mike Rodebaugh, LEO A DALY
In this exclusive interview for HorizonTV, Mike Rodebaugh, AIA, Senior Living Sector Leader with LEO A DALY, describes how his firm applies "hospitality magic tricks" in its senior living communities, using design to lend dignity to residents, staff, and residents' families and social circles.
Multifamily Housing | Aug 10, 2021
A long-gestating apartment building finally gets underway in Long Beach, Calif.
Broadstone Promenade will add another piece to the city’s downtown lifestyle.