In its latest outlook report for the multifamily rental market, Yardi Matrix outlined several reasons for hope for a solid recovery for the multifamily housing sector in 2021, especially during the second half of the year.
While multifamily owners, developers, and property managers collectively braced for severe drops in rent growth, construction starts, project completions, and availability of capital amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the drastic declines never materialized.
Rent growth did take a step back in select markets, especially in "high-cost gateway" metros like San Jose (-13.7%) and San Francisco (-9.4%), as renters continued to leave pricey urban neighborhoods for less-dense, cheaper suburban areas.
But on the flip side, "many tertiary and tech hub markets have benefited from migration out of the gateways," wrote the authors of the Yardi Matrix report. Secondary and tech markets like the Inland Empire, Sacramento, Tampa, and Las Vegas all saw solid rent growth in 2020.
Multifamily construction pipeline for 2021
Other than the temporary shutdowns of work sites during the pandemic, construction work on multifamily housing developments continued to hum along through 2020 and into 2021. In all, 285,000 multifamily units were delivered throughout U.S. markets in 2020, down about 7% from 2019, but not nearly as severe a drop as many had predicted.
According to Yardi Matrix, the multifamily sector has a "robust pipeline" of new projects, with some 765,000 units in some stage of construction as of early 2021. This "should keep deliveries above that 300,000 mark for the next few years." The firm projects 327,718 units will be delivered in 2021.
Here are the top 25 multifamily markets for 2021 (total number of construction completions, % growth in completions YOY):
1. Dallas: 22,909 completions (+12.1% YOY)
2. Miami: 16,262 (+66.3%)
3. Washington, D.C.: 14,541 (+50.5%)
4. Houston: 11,500 (-3.1%)
5. Los Angeles: 11,296 (+16.5%)
6. Atlanta: 10,939 (+9.7%)
7. Austin: 10,301 (-10.0%)
8. Seattle: 9,816 (+29.9%)
9. Phoenix: 9,334 (+13.6%)
10. Denver: 8,653 (-29.7%)
11. Boston: 8,449 (+20.8%)
12. Chicago: 7,797 (+0.8%)
13. New York City: 7,335 (+24.2%)
14. San Francisco: 7,166 (+64.8%)
15. Twin Cities: 6,760 (+4.9%)
16. Charlotte: 6,692 (+55.3%)
17. Orlando: 6,662 (+21.5%)
18. Philadelphia: 6,071 (+27.7%)
19. Nashville: 5,457 (+41.1%)
20. Tampa–St. Petersburg: 5,103 (+20.1%)
21. San Antonio: 4,960 (-6.5%)
22. New Jersey–Northern: 4,955 (+29.9%)
23. Salt Lake City: 4,633 (-0.6%)
24. Louisville: 4,484 (+215.6%)
25. White Plains: 4,464 (+199.6%)
DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT
Related Stories
School Construction | May 11, 2022
New Digital Learning Commons at Rutgers supports doctoral programs in over 16 disciplines
The new Digital Learning Commons at the Rutgers University Archibald S. Alexander Library provides students in over 16 courses of study and four professional schools with spacious collaborative and study space.
Esports Arenas | May 11, 2022
Design firm Populous partners with esports company on digital art NFT collection
Design firm Populous and multidiscipline esports organization Kansas City Pioneers have partnered on a five-part NFT collection.
Multifamily Housing | May 11, 2022
Kitchen+Bath AMENITIES – Take the survey for a chance at a $50 gift card
MULTIFAMILY DESIGN + CONSTRUCTION is conducting a research study on the use of kitchen and bath products in the $106 billion multifamily construction sector.
Building Team | May 11, 2022
Miami to get its first supertall building
After completing its first supertall building, 111 W 57th Street in New York, developer PMG is now preparing for the groundbreaking of the first supertall in Miami: Waldorf Astoria Miami.
Sponsored | BD+C University Course | May 10, 2022
Design guide for parapets: Safety, continuity, and the building code
This course covers design considerations for parapets. The modern parapet must provide fire protection, serve as a fall-protective guard, transition and protect the roof/facade interface, conceal rooftop equipment, and contribute to the aesthetic character of the building.
Sponsored | BD+C University Course | May 10, 2022
Designing smarter places of learning
This course explains the how structural steel building systems are suited to construction of education facilities.
Performing Arts Centers | May 10, 2022
A historic performance space is transformed to reinforce a campus’ Arts District
Connecticut College’s Athey Center for Performance and Research at Palmer Auditorium balances the old and new.
Market Data | May 10, 2022
Hybrid work could result in 20% less demand for office space
Global office demand could drop by between 10% and 20% as companies continue to develop policies around hybrid work arrangements, a Barclays analyst recently stated on CNBC.
Multifamily Housing | May 10, 2022
Multifamily rents up 14.3% in 2022
The average U.S. asking rent for multifamily housing increased $15 in April to an all-time high of $1,659, according to Yardi Matrix.
Headquarters | May 10, 2022
JPMorgan Chase’s new all-electric headquarters to have net-zero operational emissions
JPMorgan Chase’s recently unveiled plans for its new global headquarters building in New York City that is rife with impressive sustainability credentials.