Coming off a record-setting year for the nonresidential construction industry (more than $760 billion was spent on new construction and renovation work nationwide last year), AEC firm leaders should be brimming with confidence over the growth potential for their firms heading into 2019. The arrow is pointing up for nearly all building sectors, construction backlogs remain healthy, and architecture firms continue to see strong demand for their design services, according to AIA and ABC data.
Yet despite the positive indicators for the market, AEC professionals remain largely cautious when it comes to growth prospects for 2019. In October, BD+C surveyed 314 readers about their thoughts on a variety of issues: materials prices, bid prices, obstacles to growth, emerging opportunities, etc. Only slightly more than half (56.0%) of industry professionals expect higher revenue for their firm in 2018 compared to last year. More surprisingly, 13.4% are forecasting a decrease in revenue.
And their forecast for 2019 isn’t much rosier: 54.7% expect revenue to increase, 8.7% call for a drop, and 36.7% predict flat revenue this year. This is a markedly different sentiment than last year’s respondents, who were much more upbeat with their forecasts for the upcoming year: 62.0% predicted revenue to rise and only 6.1% called for it to drop.
When asked about their top concerns for 2019, the largest number of respondents cited “general economic conditions” (52.7%) as a key issue, followed by “competition from other firms” (41.0%) and “price increases in materials and services” (39.0%). In fact, nearly 90% of respondents anticipate construction materials prices to rise in 2019. That’s up from 86% in last year’s survey of BD+C readers.
See Also: And then there were two: HQ2 sites, in hindsight, seemed obvious
To help keep their project pipelines full through 2019, AEC firms are focusing on a number of business development strategies heading into this year. Selective hires (44.1%) and marketing/public relations efforts (42.2%) top the list, followed by investments in technology (39.0%), staff training/education (35.9%), and new services/business opportunities (29.2%).
Healthcare facilities and multifamily housing head the list of the hottest sectors heading into 2019, according to survey respondents. More than half (52.5%) indicated that the prospects for healthcare/hospital work were either “excellent” or “good” for 2019; 52.4% said the same for multifamily housing work. Other strong building sectors: senior/assisted living facilities (51.9%), office interiors/fitouts (46.9%), industrial/warehouse buildings (42.7%), hotel/hospitality developments (39.7%), university facilities (38.2%), government/military buildings (37.5%), and office buildings (37.4).
Related Stories
| Jan 4, 2011
Furniture Sustainability Standard - Approved by ANSI and Released for Distribution
BIFMA International recently announced formal American National Standards Institute (ANSI) approval and release of the ANSI/BIFMA e3-2010 Furniture Sustainability Standard. The e3 standard represents a structured methodology to evaluate the "sustainable" attributes of furniture products and constitutes the technical criteria of the level product certification program.
| Dec 20, 2010
Architect Adrian D. Smith on zero-energy cities, new technologies, and high density.
Adrian D. Smith, FAIA, RIBA, is co-founder (with Gordon Gill) of Adrian Smith + Gordon Gill Architecture, Chicago. Previously, he was a design partner in the Chicago office of Skidmore, Owings & Merrill (1980-2003) and a consulting design partner from 2004 to 2006. His landmark structures include the Jin Mao Tower (Shanghai), Rowes Wharf (Boston), and Burj Khalifa (Dubai, U.A.E.), the world’s tallest structure. He recently collaborated with Gordon Gill to design the world’s first net-zero-energy skyscraper, Pearl River Tower, now nearing completion in Guangzhou, China. This account is based on his recent remarks at the Illinois Institute of Technology.
| Dec 17, 2010
Gemstone-inspired design earns India’s first LEED Gold for a hotel
The Park Hotel Hyderabad in Hyderabad, India, was designed by Skidmore, Owings & Merrill to combine inspirations from the region’s jewelry-making traditions with sustainable elements.
| Dec 17, 2010
Sam Houston State arts programs expand into new performance center
Theater, music, and dance programs at Sam Houston State University have a new venue in the 101,945-sf, $38.5 million James and Nancy Gaertner Performing Arts Center. WHR Architects, Houston, designed the new center to connect two existing buildings at the Huntsville, Texas, campus.
| Dec 17, 2010
Subway entrance designed to exude Hollywood charm
The Hollywood/Vine Metro portal and public plaza in Los Angeles provides an entrance to the Red Line subway and the W Hollywood Hotel. Local architect Rios Clementi Hale Studio designed the portal and plaza to flow with the landmark theaters and plazas that surround it.
| Dec 17, 2010
New engineering building goes for net-zero energy
A new $90 million, 250,000-sf classroom and laboratory facility with a 450-seat auditorium for the College of Electrical and Computer Engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana/Champaign is aiming for LEED Platinum.
| Dec 17, 2010
Toronto church converted for condos and shopping
Reserve Properties is transforming a 20th-century church into Bellefair Kew Beach Residences, a residential/retail complex in The Beach neighborhood of Toronto. Local architecture firm RAWdesign adapted the late Gothic-style church into a five-story condominium with 23 one- and two-bedroom units, including two-story penthouse suites. Six three-story townhouses also will be incorporated. The project will afford residents views of nearby Kew Gardens and Lake Ontario. One façade of the church was updated for retail shops.
| Dec 17, 2010
Cladding Do’s and Don’ts
A veteran structural engineer offers expert advice on how to avoid problems with stone cladding and glass/aluminum cladding systems.
| Dec 17, 2010
How to Win More University Projects
University architects representing four prominent institutions of higher learning tell how your firm can get the inside track on major projects.