Coming off a record-setting year for the nonresidential construction industry (more than $760 billion was spent on new construction and renovation work nationwide last year), AEC firm leaders should be brimming with confidence over the growth potential for their firms heading into 2019. The arrow is pointing up for nearly all building sectors, construction backlogs remain healthy, and architecture firms continue to see strong demand for their design services, according to AIA and ABC data.
Yet despite the positive indicators for the market, AEC professionals remain largely cautious when it comes to growth prospects for 2019. In October, BD+C surveyed 314 readers about their thoughts on a variety of issues: materials prices, bid prices, obstacles to growth, emerging opportunities, etc. Only slightly more than half (56.0%) of industry professionals expect higher revenue for their firm in 2018 compared to last year. More surprisingly, 13.4% are forecasting a decrease in revenue.
And their forecast for 2019 isn’t much rosier: 54.7% expect revenue to increase, 8.7% call for a drop, and 36.7% predict flat revenue this year. This is a markedly different sentiment than last year’s respondents, who were much more upbeat with their forecasts for the upcoming year: 62.0% predicted revenue to rise and only 6.1% called for it to drop.
When asked about their top concerns for 2019, the largest number of respondents cited “general economic conditions” (52.7%) as a key issue, followed by “competition from other firms” (41.0%) and “price increases in materials and services” (39.0%). In fact, nearly 90% of respondents anticipate construction materials prices to rise in 2019. That’s up from 86% in last year’s survey of BD+C readers.
See Also: And then there were two: HQ2 sites, in hindsight, seemed obvious
To help keep their project pipelines full through 2019, AEC firms are focusing on a number of business development strategies heading into this year. Selective hires (44.1%) and marketing/public relations efforts (42.2%) top the list, followed by investments in technology (39.0%), staff training/education (35.9%), and new services/business opportunities (29.2%).
Healthcare facilities and multifamily housing head the list of the hottest sectors heading into 2019, according to survey respondents. More than half (52.5%) indicated that the prospects for healthcare/hospital work were either “excellent” or “good” for 2019; 52.4% said the same for multifamily housing work. Other strong building sectors: senior/assisted living facilities (51.9%), office interiors/fitouts (46.9%), industrial/warehouse buildings (42.7%), hotel/hospitality developments (39.7%), university facilities (38.2%), government/military buildings (37.5%), and office buildings (37.4).
Related Stories
| Aug 11, 2010
HNTB, Arup, Walter P Moore among SMPS National Marketing Communications Awards winners
The Society for Marketing Professional Services (SMPS) is pleased to announce the 2009 recipients of the 32nd Annual National Marketing Communications Awards (MCA). This annual competition is the longest-standing, most prestigious awards program recognizing excellence in marketing and communications by professional services firms in the design and building industry.
| Aug 11, 2010
'Flexible' building designed to physically respond to the environment
The ecoFLEX project, designed by a team from Shepley Bulfinch, has won a prestigious 2009 Unbuilt Architecture Design Award from the Boston Society of Architects. EcoFLEX features heat-sensitive assemblies composed of a series of bi-material strips. The assemblies’ form modulate with the temperature to create varying levels of shading and wind shielding, flexing when heated to block sunlight and contracting when cooled to allow breezes to pass through the screen.
| Aug 11, 2010
Payette completes Penn State Hershey Cancer Institute
Payette, a leading architectural design firm specializing in complex buildings for medical and scientific research, academic teaching, and healthcare, announced today the Penn State Hershey Cancer Institute ribbon-cutting and dedication ceremony was held on June 26, 2009. The new 176,000 square foot Cancer Institute is located on the Penn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center Campus in University Park, Pa.
| Aug 11, 2010
New book provides energy efficiency guidance for hotels
Recommendations on achieving 30% energy savings over minimum code requirements are contained in the newly published Advanced Energy Design Guide for Highway Lodging. The energy savings guidance for design of new hotels provides a first step toward achieving a net-zero-energy building.
| Aug 11, 2010
Pella Corporation ranks highest in customer satisfaction
Pella Corporation has earned the prestigious J.D. Power and Associates award for “Highest in Customer Satisfaction among Window and Patio Door Manufacturers” for the third year in a row.
| Aug 11, 2010
Oregon office building earns highest green globes rating
Columbia Square, a 313,000 square foot office building and flagship property in the Melvin Mark Companies real estate portfolio, has been awarded 4 Globes by the Green Building Initiative (GBI) for achievements in green design and sustainable operations. The building was rated under the Green Globes environmental design and assessment tool and the 4 Globes designation is the highest possible rating.
| Aug 11, 2010
Perkins+Will master plans Vedanta University teaching hospital in India
Working together with the Anil Agarwal Foundation, Perkins+Will developed the master plan for the Medical Precinct of a new teaching hospital in a remote section of Puri, Orissa, India. The hospital is part of an ambitious plan to develop this rural area into a global center of education and healthcare that would be on par with Harvard, Stanford, and Oxford.